Big Bets and Black Swans 2014: A Presidential Briefing Book - download pdf or read online

By Ted Piccone,Steven Pifer,Thomas Wright

President Obama has simply 3 years left in place of work to outline his legacy in international affairs. he is dealing with a few severe challenges—the ongoing battle in Syria, the Iran nuclear negotiations, an enigmatic North Korea and different major crises in global affairs. The president's advisors are busy devising coverage strategies aimed toward grappling with those thorny concerns. From those, the president needs to make a decision which priorities to pursue and the way to most sensible workout U.S. energy and impact to control and form the worldwide order.

This booklet provides a suite of coverage research and suggestions from The overseas coverage students on the Brookings establishment. Designed to supply the White apartment with leading edge and actionable coverage tasks, the ebook is developed as a chain of memos to President Obama. This 12 months, the memos are divided into 5 categories:

• mammoth Bets are concerns the place the president should still give some thought to making an investment his strength, time and status in significant efforts that could have a transformational impression on the USA and the area. • Double Downs are derived from the massive Bets from final year's techniques that the president should still redouble his efforts on.

• Black Swans are these low-probability yet high-impact occasions which could divert the president and his administration's better reasons, equivalent to dramatic detrimental occasions that he'll are looking to take steps prematurely to prevent or to mitigate their consequences.

• Nightmares are occasions that glance much more likely than a Black Swan and will turn out rather difficult for U.S. pursuits and the worldwide order, and for which the management should still prepare.

• Holds are up to date coverage techniques to stick the direction on techniques urged final year.

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Download e-book for kindle: Big Bets and Black Swans 2014: A Presidential Briefing Book by Ted Piccone,Steven Pifer,Thomas Wright

President Obama has simply 3 years left in workplace to outline his legacy in global affairs. he is dealing with a couple of severe challenges—the ongoing struggle in Syria, the Iran nuclear negotiations, an enigmatic North Korea and different major crises in global affairs. The president's advisors are busy devising coverage techniques geared toward grappling with those thorny matters.

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Big Bets and Black Swans 2014: A Presidential Briefing Book (Brookings Essay) by Ted Piccone,Steven Pifer,Thomas Wright


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